As I’m writing this post, it’s still August 24th. That’s a special day in hurricane history. It”s also a big day in Florida history. On August 24, 1992 Hurricane Andrew slammed into Florida. I don’t need to revisit the numbers, the deaths and the damage. It just needs to never be forgotten. That one storm did more to change the building codes in our state than any other event.File:HurricaneAndrew.jpg

Seventeen years later it’s still the benchmark for comparing storms for most people.

So let’s get to this new wave…I don’t like it. This is a close up shot of the system on It’s trying very hard to get organized. The latest model runs bring it north-west and develop it into a pretty impressive system.

At its closest approach on this run the system would never get closer than about 325 miles to the Cape. A few things to keep in mind. The models will do a much better job of placing the system once it gets its act together. It’s still an open wave and the models are putting it in different places. Second, last week the first runs on Bill were too far east by about 200 miles.  If the models are off 200 to 300 miles on this one… that’s not good for us. Finally, this could still all work out great for Florida. If the system does deepen, stays off shore and moves north, we would end up with sinking air, dry conditions, and more rough surf. Can you imagine, 2 weekends, back to back for great surfing? Not a bad deal this time of the year. For the record I think this becomes a Carolina storm. That breaks my heart, but doesn’t cause me to lose sleep like I will if the models jog west in the coming days.

One final note. It’s been one year now since Tropical Storm Fay drenched us. One year ago tonight the water was rising on the St. Johns River,  Sanford was flooding, and the rain was still falling. Fay made a record 4 landfalls on Florida. I find it incredible that the name didn’t get retired. Fay is back on the list of names for the 2014 season.

We’ll talk again soon..Have A Sunny Day.