Wow… what a weird run these past 5 days. There we were Saturday and Sunday issuing Freeze Warnings, now today will be our 3rd day in a row with highs above 80. Check this out, it’s a photo of my neighbor’s yard after running their sprinklers early Sunday morning. The water left a winter wonderland…

Today the heat is ON in Central Florida. Some spots may make it to the 83 or 84 degree mark. That’s more like April than February. The big problem is we need rain. Read these words sent out this week from the National Weather Service in Melbourne:

RAINFALL DURING THE WET SEASON LAST YEAR COMBINED WITH WELL ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION IN OCTOBER HELPED SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVE SOIL
MOISTURE AND WATER LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA. HOWEVER ONCE THE DRY
SEASON BEGAN TOWARD THE BEGINNING OF NOVEMBER…RAINFALL HAS BEEN
QUITE SCARCE OVER MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS HAS BEEN
ESPECIALLY TRUE FROM LAKE COUNTY EASTWARD TO VOLUSIA AND NORTHERN
BREVARD COUNTIES WHERE TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SINCE NOVEMBER
1ST ARE CURRENTLY AVERAGING 5 TO 8 INCHES BELOW NORMAL. OVER THE
REST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA RAINFALL AMOUNTS DURING THE DRY SEASON
HAVE ALSO BEEN VERY LOW. THE ONE EXCEPTION IS ALONG THE TREASURE
COAST WHERE PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN FROM VERO BEACH TO STUART THIS
PAST DECEMBER HAVE SO FAR PREVENTED LONGER TERM DROUGHT IMPACTS TO
THIS AREA. THIS IS EVEN DESPITE THE FACT THAT THAT AREA HAS SEEN A
GENERAL LACK OF RAINFALL SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW YEAR.

MORE NORMAL RAINFALL DID OCCUR OVER MUCH OF THE AREA LAST WEEK.
HOWEVER THIS PRECIPITATION DID LITTLE TO HELP ALLEVIATE THE VERY DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA. THIS HAS LED TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF
THE REGION WITH IMPACTS RANGING FROM A RECENT INCREASE IN WILDFIRE
ACTIVITY TO LOWER STREAMFLOWS AND DECLINING GROUNDWATER LEVELS.

ACCORDING TO THE LATEST DROUGHT MONITOR FROM FEBRUARY 9TH, 2012…
SEVERE (D2) DROUGHT CONDITIONS NOW EXIST ACROSS LAKE…VOLUSIA…
SEMINOLE…ORANGE…AND NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS (D1) EXTEND FROM OSCEOLA AND OKEECHOBEE COUNTIES TOWARD
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE TREASURE COAST. ABNORMALLY DRY (D0)
CONDITIONS ARE CURRENTLY IN PLACE FROM SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY TO
SAINT LUCIE COUNTY.

That’s nice summary saying we really need rain. The forecast is calling for a shot at showers as the weekend wears on. Right now my forecast is for the best chance of showers to come in late Saturday into early Sunday. The timing may change if the front slows down. I’ll keep you posted on Local 6 news and here on this blog.

For now, here’s the forecast.

Next 8 Days

Enjoy the weather while it’s calm. You know it won’t be this nice forever!

See you soon,

Tom Sorrells

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